Sci-tech

Scientists Predict 2018 Will Be a Bad Year for Earthquakes. Here's Why

Scientists Predict 2018 Will Be a Bad Year for Earthquakes. Here's Why

The researchers discovered that when the rotation of the Earth slowed down even slightly for periods of about five years, periods with a higher number of major earthquakes followed. Before you get too nervous, the slowing of the Earth's rotation is slight and changes the length of the day by milliseconds according to scientists.

The researchers, from the Universities of Colorado and Montana, analyzed natural disaster patterns over the last 100 years and noticed occasional upticks in magnitude 7 or higher quakes during periods when the earth's rotation has slowed.

"The rotation of the Earth does change slightly - by a millisecond a day sometimes - and that can be measured very accurately by atomic clocks", he said, adding, "It is straightforward".

Yes! If the latest prediction by two U.S. scientists turns out to be true then the world could witness a sudden surge in the number of devastating earthquakes in the next couple of years.

Historically, it is common to see up to 15 to 20 large earthquakes per year.

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Each time the rotation slowed, Earthquakes increased.

But, according to the Guardian, the researchers "found that most of the intense earthquakes that responded to changes in day length seemed to occur near the equator". "So far nobody's figured out why we're wrong, in my mind that's tantamount to saying, "so far, so right", Bendick said.

However, they said it is hard to indicate precisely when and where these future earthquakes will occur, but they clearly noted that most of the additional 7M earthquakes have historically occurred near the equator in the West and East Indies.

Bilham said, "We have had it easy this year".

"In these periods, there were between 25 to 30 intense earthquakes a year". They say these devastating events will be produced by the variation in the speed of Earth's rotation.

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Bilham said that it is hard to predict where these quakes will take place but most of these may be triggered near the equator.

The Earth's deceleration has been slowly occurring over the past four years and 2018 will be the fifth year when it will all come to a head. Their prediction is based on the periodic slowdown in Earth's speed of rotation around its axis, which minimizes daylight. Hence, scientists are still unsure whether this change in Earth's rotation is the cause of an uptick in earthquakes.

The year 2018 might bring in some bad news for billions of people around the world. The thought is that the outer core can at times "stick" to the mantle, causing a disruption in its flow.

"They concentrate the shrinkage into the seismic zones where the earthquakes occur".

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